Seir epidemiological model with varying infectivity and infinite delay.
نویسندگان
چکیده
A new SEIR model with distributed infinite delay is derived when the infectivity depends on the age of infection. The basic reproduction number R0, which is a threshold quantity for the stability of equilibria, is calculated. If R0 < 1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and this is the only equilibrium. On the contrary, if R0 > 1, then an endemic equilibrium appears which is locally asymptotically stable. Applying a permanence theorem for infinite dimensional systems, we obtain that the disease is always present when R0 > 1.
منابع مشابه
Global stability for an SEIR epidemiological model with varying infectivity and infinite delay.
A recent paper (Math. Biosci. and Eng. (2008) 5:389-402) presented an SEIR model using an infinite delay to account for varying infectivity. The analysis in that paper did not resolve the global dynamics for R0 >1. Here, we show that the endemic equilibrium is globally stable for R0 >1. The proof uses a Lyapunov functional that includes an integral over all previous states.
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ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
دوره 5 2 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2008